I have been reading about advanced analytics (statistics) in the NHL lately. Next to Corsi and Fenwick (new terms for shot attempt statistics), one of the hot topics in the hockey stats game is zone entry and zone exit success. I have been particularly interested in using zone entry statistics to rationalize my thoughts on carry in’s versus dump in’s. In the NHL, most teams will generate a shot (on net, blocked, missed) an average of about 66% of the time when the puck is carried over the blue line. At the same time, NHL teams will generate a shot around 29% of the time when they dump it in. Reading these statistics, you have to wonder why a team would ever want to dump the puck in when they are generating a shot more than twice as often on carry in’s.
(See Dom Luszczyszyn’s article in the Hockey News “Two Years of Research, 1230 Games Watched: Why Neutral Zone Play is Much More Important than You Think”)
